{"source":"https://cagemath.com/record","note":"Every pick is locked and timestamped before the fight and graded from official results. Analytics for entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.","validation":{"acc":65.1,"windows":"64.7% / 65.8% / 64.8%","bouts":897,"calibration":[["50-59%",56.9],["60-69%",68.8],["70-79%",76.6]]},"ledger":{"graded":191,"wins":123,"losses":68,"acc":64.4,"confident":18,"confident_wins":14,"confident_acc":77.8},"picks":[{"event":"UFC Fight Night 291 - Buckley vs. Malott","event_date":"2026-10-17","pick":"Melissa Croden","opponent":"Chelsea Chandler","model_prob":0.764,"market_prob_at_lock":0.7003,"closing_market_prob":0.7571,"result":"loss","model_version":"v10llm-locked-20261011","locked_at":"2026-10-11T17:00:49.851113Z","graded_at":"2026-10-18T11:30:51.321788Z"},{"event":"UFC Fight Night 291 - Buckley vs. Malott","event_date":"2026-10-17","pick":"Kyle Daukaus","opponent":"Marc-Andre Barriault","model_prob":0.7,"market_prob_at_lock":0.6668,"closing_market_prob":0.6414,"result":"loss","model_version":"v10llm-locked-20261011","locked_at":"2026-10-11T17:01:04.552298Z","graded_at":"2026-10-18T11:30:51.323890Z"},{"event":"UFC Fight Night 291 - 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