The toolbox

The math every sharp bettor runs before money moves. Free, no account, no tricks. Analytics, not betting instructions. New to all of this? Start with the two minute guide.

Odds converter

Type any one, the others follow.

Implied % includes the book's margin. Strip it with the no-vig tool.

No-vig calculator

Both sides of a fight, in American odds. See what the book really thinks once its cut is stripped out.

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EV and Kelly sizing

Your win probability against the price on offer: is the bet worth making, and how big?

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Full Kelly is a ceiling, not a suggestion. We size our own picks at a quarter of it, capped at 3% of bankroll.

These tools are the same math behind our value flags and suggested sizing. The difference is we also publish a graded record of how our numbers hold up.

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Members get calibrated win probabilities, value flags, and suggested sizing on every UFC fight, $49/mo ($39/mo billed annually).

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